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FY2023 JBIC Survey (35th) Report on Overseas Business Operations by Japanese Manufacturing Companies

  • Region: Others
  • Others
December 14, 2023
  1. The Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC, Governor: HAYASHI Nobumitsu) released today the results of the FY2023 Survey on Overseas Business Operations by Japanese Manufacturing Companies. The survey was conducted by sending questionnaires to 987 companies in July 2023, and the completed questionnaires were returned through September 2023. A total of 534 companies returned valid responses, putting the response rate at 54.1%. The objective of the survey was to grasp the current situation, challenges, and outlook for overseas business development by Japanese manufacturing companies with a track record in overseas business operations. The survey is the 35th of an annual series that began in 1989. (Please click here for the full report.)
      
  2. In the FY2023 survey, in addition to the regular themes of “overseas business performance,” “business prospects for medium-term,” and “promising countries/regions,” we also surveyed Japanese manufacturers’ perceptions of the “shape of supply chains under fragmented global economy,” “impact of global price hikes on business development,” and “issues in sustainability in business development.”
      
  3. A summary of the survey results is as follows.
    (1)Japanese manufacturers’ overseas business operations maintained a recovery trend from the Covid-19 pandemic, but their attitude toward strengthening and expansion slowed somewhat. Last fiscal year, companies showed signs of recovery from the pandemic, and this year, both the overseas production ratio and the overseas sales ratio increased from the previous year, maintaining the recovery trend. However, against the backdrop of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, heightened geopolitical risks associated with the prolonged conflict between the U.S. and China, and the slowdown trend in the Chinese economy, the actual results for FY2023 are expected to remain almost flat in both the overseas production ratio and the overseas sales ratio. Companies are also more cautious in their future domestic and overseas business development stance compared to the previous fiscal year.

    (2)In the ranking of promising countries, India maintains the top position, far ahead of the others. The U.S. and China dropped in the rankings, with Vietnam in second place for the first time.

    As for promising countries over the next three years, India maintained its top position by gaining support in a wide range of industries and leading the others in terms of the percentage of votes. China dropped to third place, against a backdrop of various growing concerns, including the prolonged conflict between the U.S. and the slowdown of the economy. Although the U.S. is highly rated as a market, the recent rise in labor costs and other factors are believed to have contributed to the decline in the vote share. The decrease in the U.S.-China vote share was distributed among the top ASEAN countries, Mexico, and other countries. Vietnam, which is expected to be the recipient of the ex-China vote share, came in second place for the first time.

    (3)While reviewing the supply chain, there was continued dependence on China. Increased geopolitical risk has led to a move to strengthen domestic investment.
    Although there is a move to review raw material procurement in the supply chain in response to rising geopolitical risks, such as the U.S.-China confrontation and the Russian invasion of Ukraine, China continues to be a significant source of raw materials and parts that are difficult to replace. On the other hand, Japanese firms' sense of unease about doing business in China has grown significantly as China's domestic regulations are tightened and the investment environment deteriorates, and the tightening of U.S. regulations on China is having an actual impact on business operations. Although the transfer of production from overseas to Japan has been limited to a small number of companies primarily in the electrical and electronics industries, there was a positive attitude toward strengthening domestic investment, while also taking into account government subsidies and other preferential measures.

    (4)Global price hikes are driving cost reductions and other efforts, while at the same time, price shifting is underway.
    Approximately 90% of the companies indicated that they are affected by the global price hikes of energy, materials, parts, etc., and are under pressure to reduce energy use, cut costs, etc. Approximately 70% of the companies have passed on the higher prices to their customers. However, some companies are unable to pass on the higher prices due to lack of understanding from their customers, competition with other companies, and other reasons.

    (5)Efforts to decarbonize have progressed mainly among large companies. Efforts to address biodiversity and human rights issues are limited due to difficulties in understanding.
    Approximately 65% of companies are making progress in their decarbonization efforts. Companies are taking into account the requirements of their customers, the initiatives of their competitors, and trends in decarbonization technologies in their efforts to decarbonize their operations, with some differences in progress depending on the size of the company and industry. Biodiversity and human rights issues, which were not widely addressed in last year's survey, were found to be difficult to understand, to have a lack of specialized human resources, and to have low awareness within industries.
      
  4. Once again, for this year’s survey, text data consisting of corporate disclosure data, newspaper articles, and other data was analyzed with text mining techniques in connection with the themes of the survey. This analysis can supplement the results of the survey.
      
  5. Based on the results of this survey, JBIC will continue to support Japanese companies facing international competition in their overseas business development, while holding dialogue with governments and relevant authorities to improve the investment environment in each country and region.
      
  1. Attachment 1:Promising Countries for Overseas Business over the Mid-term (Next 3 Years)
  2. Attachment 2: Trends in Overseas Production Sales Ratios (FY2001 onwards, all industries)

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